Will Iran attack Israel?
Last Updated on September 3, 2024 6:50 am
The crisis in the Middle East is witnessing a different experience. This volatility shows no sign of abating anytime soon. On the one hand, the Palestinian-Israeli war; On the other hand, there is military tension between Hezbollah and Israel. At the same time, Iran is also involved in this conflict.
Israel is the most blamed for escalating this crisis. They killed Ismail Haniyeh, the political head of Hamas, who was at the negotiating table to end the war in Gaza.
Haniya has been in talks with the United States, Qatar, Egypt, Turkey and even China on ceasefire talks. At the same time, he tried to bring together 14 representatives of different political parties to build unity in Palestine. And in such a situation, Israel killed Haniya by carrying out a precise attack near the presidential palace of Iran.
How will Iran respond?
This attack on Iranian soil was a clear violation of sovereignty. Quite naturally that would normally trigger a strong reaction from any state.
Iran will undoubtedly remember this attack and will not hesitate to respond as a sovereign state. It is believed that Iran may not retaliate immediately. Massoud Pezekian government will choose the right moment to attack Israel.
Historically, Iran has not engaged in direct conflict with Israel. Iran has been attacking Israel with proxy forces in this case. But this time, Israel directly targeted the territory of Iran and killed one of their political guests. Iran has no choice but to retaliate somehow.
As for Iran’s response, we will have to wait to see whether it will launch a direct military attack on Israel or take a different form. If the attack takes place, the situation in the Middle East may take a different turn. Iran may also contemplate cyber attacks or strategic diplomatic maneuvers in retaliation. Such a reaction could further destabilize the already fragile situation in the Middle East. As a result, the superpowers will look for opportunities to implement their agendas.
Risk of global crisis
From an external perspective, nobody would benefit from a regional war in the Middle East. Despite the desire of some to fuel conflict in the region, targeting countries like Iran is leading the United States and Europe to greater aggression. History shows that such actions lead to disastrous consequences.
The US intervention in Iraq has resulted in the loss of millions of lives, the displacement of millions, and the injury of countless others. But at one time the Americans had to withdraw their troops from Iraq. Afghanistan is a typical example.
In the event of war, tensions between Iran and Israel will no longer be limited to bilateral issues. This crisis has the potential to become an international crisis. So the world is keenly watching how Iran will respond and how this response will affect the regional balance. We have to wait and see where things go.
However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s war ambitions will serve neither Israel’s nor the United States’ interests. Similarly, a regional war is not a pleasant situation for Iran, Lebanon or any other country in the Middle East. That is why there is still hope that tensions will subside and eventually pave the way for peace.
If a negotiated peace is reached to resolve the crisis, Iran may decide not to attack again.